(Satire obviously) Day and time sun finder: [https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/sunearth.html?month=4&day=8&year=2024&hour=18&min=52&sec=0&n=&ntxt=&earth=0](https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/sunearth.html?month=4&day=8&year=2024&hour=18&min=52&sec=0&n=&ntxt=&earth=0) [https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/map/2024-april-8](https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/map/2024-april-8) [https://www.timeanddate.com/moon/norway/stavanger](https://www.timeanddate.com/moon/norway/stavanger) # Predicting April 8 Total Solar Eclipse  [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1759054643550617772?s=20](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1759054643550617772?s=20)  "Flerf Magic" Watch How Flat Earthers Predict Eclipses. Sources: [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Library/Eclipses…](https://t.co/61YK8fyx3K)… [https://t.me/c/1614757092/73421…](https://t.co/VT9PU9AlIB)… Meeus, F. E. a. J. (2009). "Five Millennium Catalog of Solar Eclipses:." [https://twitter.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1759136165486072179](https://twitter.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1759136165486072179)       ![Attachments/eclipse cylindrical].png](https://publish-01.obsidian.md/access/f65db462c005bb547bb3878805fb0f4d/Attachments/eclipse%20cylindrical%5D.png)                                .png)  Jean Meeus  Well, like this. Obviously.  The celestial sphere is specifically geocentric. So by performing some geometry and some complicated math, you can project the shadow out from any position fairly accurately. Of course, the closer it is to the time of the eclipse the more accurate it will be, due to the fluctuating circumstances. The below was just melodrama for the trolls on twitter. They still think I stole NASAS data and somehow used that to do all this. To me, thats much stupider than there are simply cycles in the sky, but hey, to each their own. # Predicting July 22 2028 Sydney Eclipse  [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EsszvDnGn0M&t=7s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EsszvDnGn0M&t=7s)  [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Personal+Eclipse+Predictions](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Personal+Eclipse+Predictions) [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1817986444809646321](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1817986444809646321) But how do you predict the path of the shadow of a solar eclipse?! Surely you need the globe? Of course not. No one needs the globe for anything, contrary to popular belief. No globe required. Just the good ole graticule. Everything is geocentric actually, and is not possible using just a heliocentric framework. Let's consider the motion of the Moon's shadow across our planar Earth. The equations for x and y describe the path of this shadow: x=−0.15441+0.54499t−0.00002t^2−0.00001t^3 y=−0.58642−0.17461t−0.00010t^2+0.00000t^3 These equations map out the trajectory of the shadow on our flat plane. As time (t) progresses, we can plot the exact location of the shadow. Now, the declination (d) of the Moon relative to the Sun's path is given by: d=20.1823−0.0080t−0.0000t^2 This tells us about the angular relationship between the Moon and Sun as they move across our hemispherical vision. The apparent sizes of the lunar and solar disks are described by l1 and l2: l1=0.53526−0.00009t−0.00001t^2 l2=−0.01085−0.00009t+0.00001t^2 These values help us understand why the Moon appears to perfectly cover the Sun during a total eclipse. It's not about distance or size - it's about perfect design and alignment! 😇 Lastly, we have μ, which represents the position angle of the Moon's axis: μ=223.3787+15.001t+0.0000t^2 This angle influences the orientation of the shadow as it moves across our plane. These equations allow us to predict the path of the eclipse shadow across our flat Earth. By inputting different time values, we can determine exactly where the shadow will be at any given moment. In this case, The shadow will start in the Indian Ocean, cross over Christmas Island and the Cocos Islands, then make landfall in Western Australia. It will continue its journey across the Northern Territory, Queensland, and New South Wales, passing through Sydney before heading out over the Tasman Sea. Isn't it fascinating how we can use mathematics to describe and predict these celestial events without resorting to unproven globe models? Remember, we're observing and measuring real phenomena - the equations simply describe what we see!  nov 22 2003 eclipse ### **General Information:**  - **Date:** November 22, 2003 - **Type of Eclipse:** Total Solar Eclipse - **Saros Series:** 142 (The 23rd eclipse in this series) ### 2. **Eclipse Timing (in Universal Time - UT):**  - **Partial Eclipse Begins:** 22:42:05 UT - **Total Eclipse Begins:** 23:49:40 UT - **Maximum Eclipse:** 00:49:24 UT on November 23, 2003 - **Total Eclipse Ends:** 01:49:10 UT on November 23, 2003 - **Partial Eclipse Ends:** 02:56:39 UT on November 23, 2003 ### 3. **Path of Totality:**  - **Geographical Regions:** The path of totality swept across Antarctica. Observers in parts of the Southern Ocean and some southern parts of Australia experienced a partial eclipse. - **Path Width at Maximum:** Approximately 419 km (260 miles) wide at the point of maximum eclipse. - **Duration of Totality at Maximum:** 1 minute and 57 seconds ### 4. **Visibility:**  - **Regions of Total Eclipse:** Primarily visible over Antarctica. - **Regions of Partial Eclipse:** Parts of southern Australia, New Zealand, and the Southern Ocean. ### 5. **Besselian Elements:**  - **X = 0.37617 - 0.51342 * t** (X-coordinate of the Moon’s shadow) - **Y = -0.32352 + 0.05362 * t** (Y-coordinate of the Moon’s shadow) - **d = 1.00000 + 0.00005 _t - 0.00011_ t²** (Distance from the Earth's center to the Moon’s shadow, in Earth radii) - **μ = +18.678** (Degrees per hour, angle between Earth's equatorial plane and the plane of the Moon's shadow) - **tan f1 = +0.00473** (Angle for the umbra, the full shadow) - **tan f2 = +0.00481** (Angle for the penumbra, the partial shadow) ### 6. **Geocentric Coordinates of Maximum Eclipse:**  - **Latitude:** 71° 43.7' S - **Longitude:** 23° 23.5' W - **Sun Altitude:** 13.5° (above the horizon) - **Sun Azimuth:** 116.0° ### 7. **ΔT (Delta T):**  - **ΔT Value:** 64.1 seconds (This is the difference between Terrestrial Time (TT) and Universal Time (UT), used for precise calculations) ### 8. **Eclipse Magnitude and Obscuration:**  - **Magnitude:** 1.037 - **Obscuration:** 1.045 (The fraction of the Sun's diameter obscured by the Moon) ### 9. **Saros Series Details:**  - **Series:** Saros 142 - **Inception of Series:** The series began on April 17, 1624. - **Total Eclipses in Series:** This series contains 72 events, with a mix of partial, annular, hybrid, and total eclipses. - **Previous Eclipse in Series:** November 11, 1985 (Total Solar Eclipse) - **Next Eclipse in Series:** December 4, 2021 (Total Solar Eclipse) ### 10. **Miscellaneous Information:**  - **Eclipse Type:** The eclipse on November 22, 2003, was a total eclipse, where the Moon completely covered the Sun for viewers located in the path of totality. - **Astronomical Context:** A total solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes directly between the Earth and the Sun, casting a shadow on Earth and temporarily turning day into night. This structured overview provides a comprehensive summary of the November 22, 2003, total solar eclipse, covering the event's timing, visibility, path, and key technical details. #### For the eclipse on November 22, 2003:  - **x = 0.37617 - 0.51342 * t** - **y = -0.32352 + 0.05362 * t** - **d = 1.00000 + 0.00005 _t - 0.00011_ t²** - **l1 = +0.00473** - **l2 = +0.00481** - **μ = 18.678 - **x and y**: These represent the coordinates of the center of the Moon's shadow on the Earth's surface, where is the time in hours from the central instant of the eclipse. - **d**: This is the distance from the center of the Earth to the center of the Moon's shadow, measured in Earth radii. - **l1 and l2**: These are the angles that define the cone of the Moon's shadow, with corresponding to the umbral cone (full shadow) and to the penumbral cone (partial shadow). ### **Eclipse Timing (in Universal Time - UT):**  - **Partial Eclipse Begins:** 22:42:05 UT - **Total Eclipse Begins:** 23:49:40 UT - **Maximum Eclipse:** 00:49:24 UT on November 23, 2003 - **Total Eclipse Ends:** 01:49:10 UT on November 23, 2003 - **Partial Eclipse Ends:** 02:56:39 UT on November 23, 2003 Not the above  [https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/map/2003-november-23?n=%401520397](https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/map/2003-november-23?n=%401520397) Eclipses: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1771300436907078037](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1771300436907078037) Eclipse Highlights: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813253969172467910](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813253969172467910) How to predict solar eclipses: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1770413357209702404](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1770413357209702404) Nothing exclusive: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1770473439209365563](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1770473439209365563) Lunar Periodicities [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813248271550120041](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813248271550120041) huge database article with all the info: [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipses](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipses) Predicting : [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813230908230525283](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1813230908230525283) Shanes prediction: [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Personal+Eclipse+Predictions](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Personal+Eclipse+Predictions) Synodic month: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1783705731134337426](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1783705731134337426) Chronometer: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1804326053743050913](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1804326053743050913) [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1779054858986807493](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1779054858986807493) Eclipses [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipses](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipses) Eclipse Sources [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Sources](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Sources) [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Sources](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Sources) [Sun and Moon] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Maps](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Maps) [Solar Cycle] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Solar+Cycle](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Solar+Cycle) [Eclipse Image Summary] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Image+Summary](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+Image+Summary) [The ELP2000 VSOP87 Ephemeris] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/The+ELP2000++VSOP87+Ephemeris](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/The+ELP2000++VSOP87+Ephemeris) [Rahu and Ketu] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Rahu+and+Ketu](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Rahu+and+Ketu) [Eclipse - The Religious Perspective] [https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+-+The+Religious+Perspective](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipse+-+The+Religious+Perspective) All PDFs downloadable: [http://files.aethercosmology.com/s/EclipsePDFs](http://files.aethercosmology.com/s/EclipsePDFs) [https://files.aethercosmology.com/account/shares](https://files.aethercosmology.com/account/shares) [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1817986444809646321](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1817986444809646321) ## Eclipse Visibility  [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1805658548761661566](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1805658548761661566) More Predictions: [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1803508385649717751](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1803508385649717751) YOU CAN'T PREDICT ECLIPSES!... Of course I can. What data do you think YOU need to predict a time, place and path of an eclipse? Do you even know? I do. ....every single thing needed to create this map is right here in my flerfmagic spreadsheet. Don't you see my pretty pivot table? If you can't manage to predict an eclipse with just the data I have posted, you don't know anything about predicting eclipses. Full stop. 😂 This website has a nice walkthrough of Besselian Polynomial Coefficients for the solar circumstances, and BOOM, eclipse prediction accomplished. Oh, and of course, pick your favorite projection of the geographic graticule to display it on. [https://t.co/0ct9rm1o4w](https://t.co/0ct9rm1o4w) "Besselian Elements are generally used to predict the circumstances of solar eclipses because using a full ephemeris, and brute forcing the circumstances, is more computationally involved. Besselian Elements are basically an ephemeris valid only over a short period of time (usually about five hours), and will be reduced to a few polynomials which can be solved quite rapidly for many events observers are usually interested in. In the past, it was most common to precompute and publish the elements for programs to use later, but today it is more common to compute the elements on the fly, though they are still published in publications like the Astronomical Almanac."     --- And by cramming that 'fundamental plane' right through the center of that personal celestial sphere of course.... How do you magically predict eclipses? Member when only Fred and I could? Polynomial Besselian elements for: 2024 Apr 8 18:00:00.0 TDT (=t0) n x y d l1 l2 µ 0 -0.3182440 0.2197640 7.5862002 0.5358140 -0.0102720 89.5912170 1 0.5117116 0.2709589 0.0148440 0.0000618 0.0000615 15.0040798 2 0.0000326 -0.0000595 -0.0000020 -0.0000128 -0.0000127 0.0000000 3 -0.0000084 -0.0000047 0.0000000 0.0000000 0.0000000 0.0000000 tan f1 = 0.0046683 tan f2 = 0.0046450 At time t1 (decimal hours), each Besselian element is evaluated by: a = a0 + a1_t + a2_t2 + a3_t3 (or a = ∑ [an_tn]; n = 0 to 3) where: a = x, y, d, l1, l2, or µ t = t1 - t0 (decimal hours) and t0 = 18.000 TDT  --- .png) .png) .png) .png) All of this data is based on observations. At NO time, do they use anything exclusive to their model to predict eclipses.    [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1758777760913273331?s=20](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1758777760913273331?s=20) [https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1757464969115787649?s=20](https://x.com/AntiDisinfo86/status/1757464969115787649?s=20)    Data for this eclipse from my spreadsheet Post where I pretend to predict this eclipse. - The map shows the [April 8, 2024 — Total Solar Eclipse](https://www.timeanddate.com/eclipse/solar/2024-april-8) in progress.****   .png) .gif) .gif) .gif)   Oops, the Model with its lazy circles can only predict SOME eclipses. Because of reasons.   Links to this page [Eclipses](https://publish.obsidian.md/shanesql/Eclipses)