# Over Confidence ## Notes We tend to overestimate our abilities and underestimate the difficulties we face, (Jump:: [[Dunning-kruger effect]]) is a prime example of such a case, we are sure we know everything while in reality we know nothing (or very little. The opposite of over confidence is (Opposes:: [[Imposter Syndrome]]), where we devalue our (Related:: [[Competence]]). Another classic example of over confidence is the "this wont happen to me", where we believe we are immune to (Jump:: [[failure]]), or that our circumstances are different that we would be able to avoid it, despite the statistics. It's like how most people think they are better-than-average drivers, although it doesn't make statistical sense. To protect ourselves from over confidence, we need to constantly reexamine what we think we know and how likely are we to be true. It requires deep (Related:: [[Rethinking]]). Unfortunately, those with over confidence tend to do the opposite, they double down on only consuming information that (Supported:: [[Conformation Bias|supports]]) their preexisting beliefs, and they (Supports:: [[Fixed Mindset|avoid]]) challenging themselves so they stay within their comfort zone where they are competent enough to serve their over confidence. A bit of (Jump:: [[self worth|Confidence]]) is important, without confidence we would be too timid and fail to act, or maximize our potential. However, when we have too much of it, it becomes tied to our (Supports:: [[form vs essence|Ego]]). In these cases, to admit that we were wrong is painful for our ego. In contrast, a bit more (Opposes:: [[Critical Thinking|Skepticism]]), would remove the (Supports:: [[Attachment]]) between our confidence and our ego, allowing us to operate like a scientist who runs (Opposes:: [[Testing|experiments]]), changing and adapting their hypothesis about the world as they discover new information, instead of being stuck in the same outdated belief. ## Visual ![[over confidence.webp]] ## Connections ```dataviewjs const queryPath = "Extras/Queries/connections_query.js" const queryContent = await dv.io.load(queryPath) dv.executeJs(queryContent); ``` ## Overview 🔼Topic:: [[Cognitive Bias (MOC)]] ↩️Origin:: 🔗Link:: %% # Excalidraw Data ## Text Elements Over Confidence ^w3Tf7oBR Failure ^YU9h3K3R Yes, but it wont happen to me! ^DMLmIwCx When we are blind to our own flaws ^xxrHAbY8 This happens to everyone! ^l64q3ty8 ## Drawing ```json { "type": "excalidraw", "version": 2, "source": "https://github.com/zsviczian/obsidian-excalidraw-plugin/releases/tag/2.2.7", 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