**📅 Date:** ➤ ⌈ [[2025-05-04-Sun〚 Retro-Futurism▪Spillover Effect 〛]]⌋
**💭 Note:**
➤Delayed realization of risk or impact (like peeling layers)
➤Halo Effect(光环效应)
A **cognitive bias** where positive traits in one area influence perception in unrelated areas.
- Investor overconfidence
- Analyst misjudgment
- Biased forecasting
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**🏷️ Tags**: #💰/Economy
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## 📌 Definition
“Spillover Effect” is **not a standardised financial term**, but it likely refers to the well-known **Spillover Effect(溢出效应)** or conceptually to **Halo Effect(光环效应)**.
### It may be used informally to describe:
- **Layered, unintended consequences**
- **Effects that cross from one area into another**
- **Delayed realization of risk or impact** (like peeling layers)
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## II. 🔁 Spillover Effect(溢出效应)
**Definition:**
When an event, decision, or policy in one area unintentionally impacts **another domain, sector, or geography**.
### 🧾 Examples:
- Fiscal stimulus in the U.S. increases global demand, benefiting emerging markets.
- A company’s ESG investment improves brand perception across product lines.
- A banking crisis in one country causes regional contagion.
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## ✨ Halo Effect(光环效应)
**Definition:**
A **cognitive bias** where positive traits in one area influence perception in unrelated areas.
### 🧾 Examples:
- A charismatic CEO leads investors to overvalue the company.
- A well-designed product leads to assumptions about superior customer service.
### 📚 CFA Relevance:
Helps explain:
- Investor overconfidence
- Analyst misjudgment
- Biased forecasting
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## 🧠 Summary
- Peel-over Effect likely = **Spillover Effect** or **Halo Effect**
- Describes how **influence “peels” into other areas** (markets, behaviour, reputation)
- Useful in:
- Risk assessment
- Industry correlation analysis
- Behavioural finance biases