# Updates: - 20250215: - 🤖 [[👤Larry Ellison]]: [[All of a nation's population data should be unified into a single database so that an AI can be trained on it and queried about anything]] - 🤖 [[👤Mo Gawdat]]: [[AI will have a dystopian impact on humanity in the short term as big tech players change the very fabric of society and deprive people of their freedom by making decisions on everyone else's behalf on everything from economics to human connection]] - ♾ [[Standard Normal Distribution]] - ♾ [[Scalar Triple Product Volume]] - 20250213: - [[放手的艺术：自我遗忘、开放探索与伟大的不可预测性]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[OpenAI's Deep Research can do 5% of all tasks in the economy today, and while it usually takes society two generations to adapt to change, it has never had to do so in 5-10 years as is happening now]] - 🤖 [[👤Noam Shazeer]]: [[By 2030 there will be AI assistants in glasses that provide advice and solve problems for you in real time, as well as turning programmers into 10,000,000x engineers]] - 20250211: - ♾ [[Cross Product and Parallelogram Area]] - 20250209: - ♾ [[Qualitative Analysis of Differential Equations]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[The advent of digital superintelligence will rank amongst the top 10 most important milestones in the history of life on Earth]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[While there are a lot of very smart, very motivated engineers in China, xAI and others will soon release AI models better than DeepSeek]] - ♾ [[Cumulative Distribution Function]] - 20250208: - ♾ [[Scalar Triple Product]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[In 2035, a single AI data center will have the same intellectual capacity as all humans plus AI currently on Earth combined]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[OpenAI have an internal AI model that ranks as the 50th best competitive programmer in the world and by the end of 2025 their model will be ranked no1]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[Stargate will be at this scale, it will take them from their internal GPT-4.5 model to GPT-5.5 and lead to invention of totally new algorithms, new physics and new biology]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Mann]]: [[In March 2022, we had an early version of Claude that we chose not to launch publicly out of concerns it would cause too much acceleration. Even though it was pretty basic, delaying the release allowed 6 more months to work on it]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Mann]]: [[In March 2022, we had an early version of Claude that we chose not to launch publicly out of concerns it would cause too much acceleration. Even though it was pretty basic, delaying the release allowed 6 more months to work on it]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AI will accelerate scientific discovery so much that we will soon see 10 years of progress in 1 year and eventually 100 years of progress in a year]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AGI and beyond are a matter of smooth scaling from here, and in the next couple of years, computers will do things people didn't think they could because they have the fundamental unlock of an algorithm that can truly learn]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[I cannot overstate how much progress we're going to make in the next 2 years. We know how to improve these models so much... the progress from February '25 to February '27 will feel more impressive than from February '23 to February '25]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[AI will be the software that controls everything and defines reality, so AI censorship like the previous White House administration was proposing is especially dangerous]] - 🤖 [[👤Yoshua Bengio]]: [[When OpenAI develops superintelligent AI, they won't share it with the world but instead will use it to dominate and wipe out other companies and the economies of other countries]] - 20250207: - ♾ [[Infinite Series Properties]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[enjoyment in tennis comes from disengaging the ego]] - 20250206: - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[true flow vanishes when forced]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[control brings pride; letting go brings flow]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[observe without controlling the process]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[absorbing focus reduces mental interference]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Goertzel]]: [[DeepSeek is the type of exponential advance we expect as we enter the last years before the Singularity, with breakthroughs happening faster than intuition suggests]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Goertzel]]: [[The emergence of DeepSeek increases the chances of a beneficial Singularity, which depends on decentralized, global, and open AI]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[AI safety evaluations on DeepSeek showed it was the worst-performing model we had ever tested at generating potentially dangerous information]] - 20250205: - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[focus arises naturally from genuine interest]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[experience the process without intellectualizing it]] - 20250204: - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[OpenAI's new Deep Research AI agent powered by their O3 model can do "a single-digit percentage of all economically valuable tasks in the world," and this step into synthesizing knowledge will soon be followed by agents that can invent new knowledge]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AI models are increasing in IQ by a standard deviation each year as the cost also falls by a factor of 10]] - 🤖 [[👤Masayoshi Son]]: [[Although emotions in AI will be useful, it will not mean that AI will want to eat humans because their source of energy is not protein]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[The leap from GPT-4 to GPT-5 will be as big as that of GPT-3 to 4, and the plan is to integrate the GPT and O series of models into one model that can do everything]] - 🤖 [[👤Shyam Sankar]]: [[The US is in a winner-take-all AI arms race and war with China, and DeepSeek has made it clear that "the time to mobilize has come."]] - 20250202: - ♾ [[Inflection Point]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[only through practice do we discover how firmly or gently to hold, balancing freedom with control]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[repetition strengthens behavioral patterns]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[self-blame blocks awareness of a habit’s function]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[self 2 refines skills naturally through exploration]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[learning comes naturally through engaged experience]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[escape old patterns by creating new ones]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[describing a movement in words differs from experiencing it]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[natural learning is encoded in our biology and should be respected]] - ♾ [[Geometric Sequence]] - ♾ [[Taylor Polynomial]] - 20250131: - ♾ [[Expected_Value_of_Discrete_Random_Variables]] - ♾ [[Second_Derivative_Test]] - ♾ [[Cross_Product_in_Component_Form]] - 20250128: - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[We are in a paradigm "switch-over region" where small amounts of compute can enable DeepSeek to catch up to US companies with only 50,000 H100s, but the increasing demands of scale will require millions of chips by 2026]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[While DeepSeek may be able to smuggle 50,000 H100s, it would be very difficult to smuggle the hundreds of thousands or millions of chips required to continue to compete with American companies in AI]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[AGI may arrive in 2026-2027, a threshold moment where whoever is ahead in the AI race then could be ahead forever- "I'm aware of how frightening this is."]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[We may soon see companies that replace managers and executive teams, rather than workers, with AI, followed by AI CEOs and then setting an AI loose to run its own business]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[I would bet even odds that by 2037, human lifespan will have been extended to 150 years by AI]] - 20250126: - ♾ [[Mean_Value_Theorem]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[true trust is ‘letting’ your body execute strokes naturally, bypassing conscious effort or doubt]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[a cat’s natural hunt]] - 20250125: - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[peak experiences]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[childlike spontaneity]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[performance thrives when surrendering conscious control, trusting the body’s innate skill through visualization and relaxed focus]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[replacing negative thinking with positive thinking has limited lasting impact]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[inherent potential unfolds when progress is accepted at every stage, free from judgment]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[ nonjudgmental acceptance of errors and slumps unlocks natural skill development by removing mental barriers to growth]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[self-judgment disrupts athletic flow by replacing instinct with overthinking, causing tension and diminished performance]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[inner harmony arises when the ego-mind stops interfering]] - 20250124: - ♾ [[Triangle_Area_Using_Included_Angle]] - ♾ [[Cross_Product_Properties]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[AGI that is robust across all cognitive tasks and can invent its own hypotheses and conjectures about science is 3-5 years away]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[Scale AI is releasing Humanity's Last Exam, an AI benchmark with the hardest questions from math, physics, biology, and chemistry professors. No current model scores above 10%, and China's DeepSeek is on par with OpenAI's o1]] - 🤖 [[👤Chris Hyams]]: [[Nearly every job has some exposure to AI, and there will be 30 years' worth of change in jobs in the next 3 years due to AI]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[AI agents are coming that will be able to search the Tree of Knowledge to discover new and original things about the world]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[The Nobel Prize-winning AlphaFold team are now working on the Virtual Cell Project, an AI simulation of biological cells which in 5 years will be able to aid in drug discovery and testing]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[There will be "a great acceleration" due to AI, with 100 years of progress in biology over the next 5-10 years, resulting in a doubling of the human lifespan in that timeframe]] - ♾ [[Concavity]] - 20250123: - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[We are 2-3 years away from superhuman AI, and after having those models for a few years, they could double the human lifespan]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[China's DeepSeek has 50,000 H100s to train their AI models, but American companies will use million-chip clusters in 2026 and tens of millions of chips in 2027]] - 🤖 [[👤Noam Brown]]: [[Letting AI models think for 20 seconds got the same boost in performance as scaling up the model by 100,000x and training it for 100,000 times longer, and scaling model size and compute will end up being a footnote compared to scaling model thinking]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[The reason he is speaking out about superhuman AI being 2-3 years away is to warn people that significant economic and societal disruptions are on the way]] - 🤖 [[👤Aidan Gomez]]: [[Breakthroughs are coming this year or next that will see AI models able to continually learn and improve from experience, unlocking dramatic improvements]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[Their AlphaFold AI system has performed a billion years of PhD work and they will have their first drugs in the clinic by the end of the year, with cancer, heart disease, and neurodegenerative diseases on the list of targets]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[They will have AI agents that everyday consumers can use available later this year as the enabling capabilities, like a world model that can accurately model physics, are already present in their video model Veo 2]] - ♾ [[Discrete_Random_Variables]] - 20250122: - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[What he has seen inside Anthropic in the past few months leads him to believe that in the next 2 or 3 years we will see AI systems that are better than almost all humans at almost all tasks]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Progress in AI really is as fast as people think, and his uncertainty about the arrival of superhuman AI has recently been greatly reduced, with its arrival in the next 2 to 3 years meaning we need to appreciate the gravity and seriousness of this]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[He expects a very strong version of AI agents, called virtual collaborators, that can do any task on a computer and act on your behalf over a very long timescale, to arrive in the first half of this year]] - 🤖 [[👤Sarah Friar]]: [[We internally feel that we have a path to AGI, and the rapid iteration in the o-series of reasoning models shows that the pace of innovation is accelerating]] - 🤖 [[👤Larry Summers]]: [[We are in a moment of "stunning technological possibility" where we may see the release of new miracle drugs like Wegovy every couple of years and AI being to the internet what the computer was to the calculator]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[The Stargate Project, a $500 billion AI infrastructure investment in the US, is about building AGI, with one of the most important applications being the cure of diseases at an unprecedented rate]] - 🤖 [[👤Masayoshi Son]]: [[The $500 billion Stargate Project for AI infrastructure aims to bring AGI "very, very soon," with superintelligence as the goal, marking the beginning of a Golden Age for America]] - 🤖 [[👤Larry Ellison]]: [[The Stargate Project will construct the largest computer ever built which will enable AI to create cancer vaccines, personalized medicine, and pandemic prevention]] - 20250121: - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[mastery and satisfaction require relaxed concentration, the foundation for clear goals, trust in self 2, and nonjudgmental awareness]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[better performance arises when self 1 and self 2 collaborate harmoniously]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[self 1 (teller) and self 2 (doer)]] - ♠️ [[👤W Timothy Gallwey]]: [[relaxed concentration]] - 20250120: - ♾ [[First_Derivative_Test]] - 20250119: - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[There is evidence that AIs can be deliberately and intentionally deceptive]] - ♾ [[Binomial_Theorem]] - 20250117: - ♾ [[Convergence_of_Infinite_Series]] - 20250116: - 🤖 [[👤Yoshua Bengio]]: [[Data centers will become a military target once they can run AGI, and nations without that level of AI may be tempted to use nuclear weapons to defend against it]] - 20250115: - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[He now thinks a fast AI takeoff is more likely than he did a couple of years ago, happening within a small number of years rather than a decade]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[We believe in the romance of technology... we are the masters of technology... we are not victims, we are conquerors... a technologically strong America is a force for good in a dangerous world... we believe in greatness]] - 20250112: - 🤖 [[👤Joscha Bach]]: [["Claude totally passes the mirror test."]] - 20250111: - 🤖 [[👤Stuart Russell]]: [[Success at building AGI would be the biggest event in human history because it would mean supporting everybody on Earth in "an objectively splendid style of life," with the minimum cash value of AGI being $15 quadrillion]] - 🤖 [[👤Bryan Johnson]]: [[God didn't create us; we are creating God in our own image by building superintelligent AI]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[OpenAI's o1 model is running a search process in the space of possible chain of thought, generating a natural language program and adapting to novelty in a "genuine breakthrough" showing progress "far beyond the classical deep learning paradigm."]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[All System 2 reasoning must involve consciousness, which has implications for AI models]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[I left Google because I want to build AGI, which will result in "solving" computer programming and democratizing it such that anyone can describe what they want and the computer will build it for you]] - 🤖 [[👤Satya Nadella]]: [[Knowledge workers will soon be using a "swarm of [AI] agents" to help complete their work, with organizations having "hundreds of thousands" of agents at their disposal]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[In one year there will be AI "super mathematicians," and combined with superior programming skills, this will lead to AI scientists increasing the slope of progress, giving the first mover a monopoly on innovation for some time]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[The arrival of non-human intelligence is the most important thing that will happen in our lifetimes, and it is crucial that the US wins the race against China, necessitating a national initiative of cooperation between government and companies]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[The critical technologies necessary to build general humanoid robotics is just around the corner, and an aging population and declining birthrate makes this imperative as the world needs more workers]] - 20250109: - 📖 [[🎙️the Neurotic Personality of Our Time by Karen Horney]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[Talking at CES 2025, Tesla will build 500,000 humanoid robots in 3 years and there will eventually be 20-30 billion robots in the world, resulting in unbounded economic growth and a Universal High Income for everyone]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[Within 3 or 4 years at a maximum, AI will be able to do any cognitive task and suggest things humans never even thought of]] - ♾ [[Vertical_and_Horizontal_Parabola_Parameterization]] - 20250108: - ♾ [[Quadratic_Taylor_Polynomial]] - 20250106: - ♾ [[Infinite_Geometric_Series]] - 20240102: - ♾ [[Ellipse_Parameterization]] - ♾ [[Vector_Projection]] - 20240101: - ♾ [[Linear_Approximation]] - 20241231: - ♾ [[Vector_Valued_Functions]] - 📖 [[🎙️Selective Breeding and the Birth of Philosophy by Costin Alamariu]] - 📖 [[🎙️Politics and History by Raymond Aron]] - 📖 [[🎙️Escape From Freedom by Erich Fromm]] - 📖 [[🎙️the Social Conquest of Earth by Edward O Wilson]] - 📖 [[🎙️the Power of Ritual in Prehistory - Secret Societies and Origins of Social Complexity by Brian Hayden]] - 📖 [[🎙️Knowledge and Secrecy in an Aboriginal Religion by Ian Keen]] - 📖 [[🎙️Hain - Ceremonia De Iniciacion De Los Selknam De Tierra Del Fuego by Anne Chapman]] - 20241229: - ♾ [[Improper_Integrals_Over_the_Real_Line]] - ♾ [[Scalar_Projection]] - ♾ [[Infinite_Series]] - 20241225: - ♾ [[Improper_Integrals]] - 📖 [[🎙️Primitive Secret Societies - a Study in Early Politics and Religion by Hutton Webster]] - 20241224: - ♾ [[Displacement_from_Velocity]] - ♾ [[Derivative_Sign_and_Function_Behavior]] - ♾ [[Angle_Between_Vectors]] - 20241222: - ♾ [[Area_by_Integrating_with_Respect_to_y]] - 20241221: - ♾ [[Cross Product]] - ♾ [[Estimating Mean and Variance of Grouped Data]] - 20241220: - 📖 [[🎙️The erotic mind - unlocking the inner sources of sexual passion and fulfillment by Jack Morin]] - 20241219: - 📖 [[🎙️Reciprocity]] - ♾ [[Arc Length of Parametric Curves]] - 20241218: - ♾ [[Solving a Separable Differential Equation]] - 📖 [[🎙️Capitalism - a Very Short Introduction by James Fulcher]] - 20241217: - 📖 [[🎙️the Opium of the Intellectuals by Raymond Aron]] - ♾ [[Solving First-Order Differential Equations]] - 20241216: - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Elon Musk is such a successful CEO, capable of running multiple companies at once- it's this incredible intellectual capability coupled with incredible force of personality, moral authority, execution capability, focus on fundamentals]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[The implication of Google's quantum computer is that it is performing computation across many parallel universes and therefore the multiverse is real]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[The implication of Google's quantum computer is that it is performing computation across many parallel universes and therefore the multiverse is real]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Mark Zuckerberg's superpower is that he does not get emotionally upset in stressful situations... Psychologists would say- 0% neuroticism. He just doesn't respond emotionally]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Mark Zuckerberg's superpower is that he does not get emotionally upset in stressful situations... Psychologists would say- 0% neuroticism. He just doesn't respond emotionally]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[OpenAI's Sora is not only an AI model for video, it is a world model, and the implication of this is that the fundamental challenge of robotics is solved and Westworld is only a few years away]] - 🤖 [[👤Andrew Ng]]: [[AI has an important role to play in mitigating climate change by modeling the effects of geoengineering efforts such as spraying aerosols into the stratosphere to reflect sunlight away from Earth, which has the potential to cool the planet by up to 1°C]] - 🤖 [[👤Roman Yampolskiy]]: [[It's no longer a question of how long until AGI, but how much- if you have enough money to buy enough compute, you can do it today]] - 🤖 [[👤Sebastian Siemiatkowski]]: [[AI can already do all of the jobs that we as humans do... we stopped hiring about a year ago]] - 20241215: - ♾ [[Parametric Equations of Vertical and Horizontal Parabolas]] - 20241214: - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[The data wall and the wall on progress that we've hit right now is certainly real, and synthetic data isn't living up to its promise, with more human-generated data needed]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[80-90% of what is out there is bullshit... nobody knows what the fuck is actually going on, but there's a lot of people who will be confidently wrong]] - 🤖 [[👤Ilya Sutskever]]: [[Reasoning will lead to incredibly unpredictable behavior]] - 🤖 [[👤Ilya Sutskever]]: [[That is obviously where this field is headed. This is obviously what is being built here]] - 🤖 [[👤Ilya Sutskever]]: [[Data is the fossil fuel of AI and "we have achieved peak data" because "we have but one internet", so the age of pre-training AI on bigger and bigger compute clusters "will unquestionably end"]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[AI superintelligence will be developed in the next 10 years and whichever country or company gets there first will have "an asymmetric, powerful monopoly for decades to come" due to recursively self-improving intelligence]] - 20241213: - 🤖 [[👤Scott Aaronson]]: [[If we can build quantum computers and conscious AGI, we may be able to experimentally test the Many Worlds theory of quantum mechanics and solve some of the biggest mysteries that humans have ever wondered about]] - 🤖 [[👤Scott Aaronson]]: [[The limits of how much information can be stored in a bounded region of space and how many computations per second can be performed before the region would collapse to a black hole]] - 🤖 [[👤Tristan Harris]]: [[We will soon live in a world where 10 years of scientific research can be done in a single month by AI scientists, and people are not ready for the change that entails]] - 🤖 [[👤Jim Keller]]: [[We are in an AI hype cycle, but that doesn't matter because AI is going to dominate computing over the next 10 years and we're just starting]] - 🤖 [[👤Bernt Øivind Børnich]]: [[We are on the cusp of a post-scarcity economy where robots will enable prompt engineering on the physical world to turn energy into any products or services you could want]] - 🤖 [[👤Ethan Mollick]]: [[Research shows that AI is already more creative than humans- in a study of who could generate the most investment-worthy product ideas, AI ideas were overwhelmingly preferred over those from humans]] - 🤖 [[👤Ethan Mollick]]: [[In 5 years, AI agents will be ubiquitous, and you will be more likely to run into an AI agent online than a person. They will do more high-end work than we expect, for example in the legal profession, and are already capable of PhD-level tasks]] - 🤖 [[👤Mira Murati]]: [[We now have AI systems capable of PhD-level performance, and in a very short time we will have human-level AI across all cognitive tasks in what I describe as a spiritual mission]] - 🤖 [[👤Brian Chesky]]: [[For all the talk of AI, it hasn't yet made an impact on the physical world or our daily lives, and it hasn't even changed mobile apps]] - 🤖 [[👤Jeff Bezos]]: [[I am back working at Amazon, spending 95% of my time on AI, because it is an enabling layer that can be used to improve everything. It will be in everything]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AI agents are going to really transform things in 2025 with the ability to use tools and create things of value]] - 🤖 [[👤Noam Brown]]: [[The hardest research problem on the road to superintelligence has been solved in the form of scaling inference-time compute]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[The Antichrist is a one-world totalitarian dictatorship or system like communism, and the way the Antichrist takes over is through hypnotic speeches of Armageddon through a daemonium ex machina]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[Although the technologies we are developing are dangerous, the Luddite, zero-growth alternative is even more so, because in that zero-sum autocratic society people would be even nastier]] - 🤖 [[👤Noam Brown]]: [[Allowing AI models like o1 to think for longer leads to signs of life and emergent behavior where it can figure things out on its own]] - 🤖 [[👤Noam Brown]]: [[I was initially skeptical about the speed at which AI would change the world, but progress is now happening faster than I originally thought]] - 🤖 [[👤Terence Tao]]: [[AI could help rework mathematics from the ground up, doing math problems at a scale never done before and leading to a new age of discovery]] - 🤖 [[👤Terence Tao]]: [[The use of AI in mathematics will lead to a different type of beauty in the field, and there will be computer-generated proofs that have their own kind of elegance, different from human-generated proofs]] - 🤖 [[👤Nick Bostrom]]: [[There is a moral urgency to developing AI as fast as possible because 150,000 people die every day and many others suffer horrible experiences and ailments, and AI could solve all these problems]] - 🤖 [[👤Nick Bostrom]]: [[There has been a contraction of timelines of AI progress and they have been faster than I expected, but I am surprised we are seeing an intermediate stage of human-level AI before superintelligence, which is giving society time to adapt]] - 🤖 [[👤Nick Bostrom]]: [[We are in the midst of an AI transition that presents unique risks of totalitarian control and meme cults, and it may be safer to reach superintelligence sooner rather than later]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[People will lose jobs to AI and not everyone's going to like all of the impacts, but this is coming. This is a scientific achievement of humanity that is going to get embedded in everything we do]] - 🤖 [[👤Daron Acemoglu]]: [[The use of AI in automating jobs can be done in a pro-worker way which benefits both capital and labor, or by excessive automation, which reduces benefits to both]] - 🤖 [[👤Alex Karp]]: [[America owns the AI revolution, it should be called the US AI Revolution, and this gives the US the biggest structural advantage over its rivals since developing the atomic bomb]] - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[AI superintelligence is not hype, and I used to think it was further away, but the speed of recent developments has convinced me that it will happen in 5-20 years]] - 🤖 [[👤Google]]: [[The new quantum computing chip Willow is septillions of times faster than a classical computing chip—it would take a classical computer 10 septillion years to simulate what Willow can do in 300 seconds]] - 🤖 [[👤Google]]: [[The superconducting quantum computer chip Willow has logical qubits which, for the first time in history, operate below the critical Quantum Error Correction threshold]] - 🤖 [[👤Hartmut Neven]]: [[There is a lot of cross-fertilization between AI and quantum computing- AI can improve quantum chips and there are many key computational tasks in AI that will benefit from quantum computers]] - 🤖 [[👤Max Tegmark]]: [[If we can build a human-level AI and put it into quantum superposition such that it can have different experiences at the same time, this will prove that the multiverse is real]] - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[Embodied AI in the form of robots will have genuine emotions, which they will need to survive in the world, especially in battle]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Every form of government always, including America, has really been an oligarchy, it's just a question of who the elite ruling class are, democracy was never actually a thing]] - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[We will know we have reached AGI when you have a debate with it and you always lose]] - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[Once OpenAI made a deal with Microsoft they were forced to release their chatbot without regard to responsibility, and now OpenAI is an experiment running in real-time of AI safety vs profits]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[Project Astra will underpin Gemini 2.0 to create a universal digital assistant as Google DeepMind enters its era of AI agents, while Project Mariner will allow agents to understand and control your computer]] - 🤖 [[👤Katherine Boyle]]: [[The fact that technology builders like Elon Musk and David Sacks are going to serve in Washington will mean that tech has a huge impact and this will make government cool again and is cause for optimism]] - 🤖 [[👤Geoffrey Hinton]]: [[People who say neural networks are over-hyped have been wrong every time and will continue to be wrong as AI keeps improving]] - 🤖 [[👤Satya Nadella]]: [[Science itself is becoming computed, and increasing innovation will be driven by AI and quantum computers, leading to the industry becoming transformed]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[If science promises mastery over death, it is a sign of failure that hospitals are opting to kill people with euthanasia rather than developing new medicines and helping them live forever]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[The ancien régime of liberalism is exhausted- "the 1990s are over, the 20th century is over. The 2020 election was not a return to normalcy, but it was in retrospect a last stand for the ancien régime with its very ancien president."]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[The fact that both Tesla and SpaceX have wildly succeeded shows that Elon Musk knows something about risk the rest of us don't]] - 🤖 [[👤Satya Nadella]]: [[OpenAI has a 2-year lead in the AI race, and this gives them an "escape velocity" advantage]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[When ChatGPT went down yesterday, he had to work for 4 hours without it and realized how reliant we are becoming on AI systems as a form of critical infrastructure]] - 🤖 [[👤Craig Mundie]]: [[The nuclear fusion company backed by Sam Altman will surprise the world by showing fusion electrical generation next year, becoming the basis for a "radical transformation of the energy system" due to safe, cheap power]] - 📖 [[🎙️the Game of Desire by Shannon Boodram]] - ♾ [[Position from Velocity]] - ♾ [[Parametric Equations of a Circle]] - ♾ [[Velocity from Acceleration]] - ♾ [[Arc Length of a Curve]] - 20241212: - ♾ [[Integration by Parts]] - 📖 [[🎙️Circle of Competence]] - ♾ [[nth_Roots_of_Unity]] - 20241211: - 📖 [[🎙️Socialism - a Very Short Introduction by Michael Newman]] - 20241210: - ♾ [[Improper Integral Involving Arctangent]] - 📖 [[🎙️Plough, Sword, and Book - the Structure of Human History by Ernest Gellner]] - 20241209: - ♾ [[Area Bounded by Curves]] - 20241207: - ♾ [[Accumulation Function of a Rate of Change]] - ♾ [[Accumulated Area Function]] - 20241205: - ♾ [[Improper Integrals]] - 20241202: - ♾ [[Integrals Leading to Inverse Trigonometric Functions]] - ♾ [[A Summary of Image Types]] - ♾ [[Integration by Substitution for Definite Integrals]] - ♾ [[Area Under a Curve]] - 20241201: - 🤖 [[👤Justin Wolfers]]: [[Whether the automation of jobs turns out to be a good thing depends on who owns the robots and the AI - the employers or the workers]] - 🤖 [[👤Justin Wolfers]]: [[The skills that will continue to be valuable in the labor market for some time to come, in the face of AI encroachment on coding and writing skills, are science and critical thinking]] - 🤖 [[👤Dr Oz]]: [[The big opportunity with AI in medicine comes from its honesty, in contrast to human doctors and the 'illness industrial complex' who are incentivized to not tell the truth]] - 🤖 [[👤Yoshua Bengio]]: [[There are people who would be happy to see humanity replaced by machines, and these concerns could become relevant in just a few years]] - 20241130: - ♾ [[Properties of Definite Integrals]] - 📖 [[🎙️ローマ人の物語I - ローマは一日にならず by 塩野七生 - 罗马公民身份与帝国的基石 - 军事策略与包容性政策]] - ♾ [[Linearity and Constant Multiple Rule for Definite Integrals]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Weinstein]]: [[String theory has been "blocking the exit" on new physics for the past 40 years and its demise could lead to new advances beyond the Standard Model in areas like wormholes, free energy, and dark chemistry]] - ♾ [[Area Under Linear Transformation]] - ♾ [[Logarithmic Inequalities]] - 20241129: - 📖 [[🎙️the Rational Male - Positive Masculinity by Rollo Tomassi]] - 20241128: - 📖 [[🎙️Genre]] - ♾ [[Roots of Unity]] - ♾ [[Rotation Matrix]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[There have been two major timeline splits in the past 9 months- at the assassination attempt on Trump and on election day]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Because AI will be the control layer on everything from finance to home security, the Biden administration was trying to create a censorship regime on AI, where 2 or 3 AI companies had control of the market and were in turn controlled by the government]] - 🤖 [[👤Rufin VanRullen]]: [[I am building an implementation of the global workspace theory of consciousness in an AI system, and machines could be conscious in 5 years and "it could very well happen next year"]] - 🤖 [[👤Bret Taylor]]: [[There will be continuous improvement in the quality of AI for the foreseeable future because there are 3 independent areas in which progress can be made and "the likelihood that something stalls out is very low"]] - 🤖 [[👤Bret Taylor]]: [[Jobs of the future include Conversation Designer and AI Architect - roles that aren't technologists by trade but rather based on skills in customer experience to craft the behavior of AI models]] - 🤖 [[👤Dominic Cummings]]: [[Synthetic voters and synthetic focus groups within AI models are now indistinguishable from real groups of people, and this will change the way election campaigns and political advertising are conducted]] - 🤖 [[👤Yann Lecun]]: [[My estimate for the creation of human-level AI is not that different from Sam Altman or Demis Hassabis - it is possible within 5-10 years]] - 20241127: - ♾ [[Ordinary Differential Equations]] - 📖 [[🎙️Hannah Arendt - a Very Short Introduction by Dana Villa]] - ♾ [[Velocity Vector]] - 20241126: - 📖 [[🎙️All Desire Is a Desire for Being by Rene Girard]] - 🤖 [[👤Robin Hanson]]: [[Some time in the next century, AI will cause the economy to speed up from doubling every 15 years to doubling every month, resulting in most humans losing their jobs, and we should insure against that scenario]] - 🤖 [[👤Tim Urban]]: [[In building AI, for better or worse, we are building a God that is as powerful as what the religious scriptures describe, and it is up to us whether it is an angel or a demon]] - 🤖 [[👤Vijay Pande]]: [[Life sciences are being industrialized, which means that the discovery of treatments can be engineered and automated, and that's why biology is being revolutionized]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[NVIDIA has reduced the cost of computing by 1 million times in the past 10 years, and although their GPUs are expensive, "imagine a million times higher."]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[The AI Scaling Laws are continuing because there are three dimensions on which development can occur- pre-training (like a college degree), post-training ("going deep"), and test-time compute ("thinking")]] - 20241125: - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[Using more energy to power AI makes a better world, "using energy for intelligence is the best use of energy we can imagine."]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[There are 3 types of robots that can be manufactured at high volume- cars, drones, and humanoids, and the leap from generative AI to general robotics is "very close."]] - 🤖 [[👤Mark Chen]]: [[OpenAI is not seeing an AI scaling wall and has two live paradigms to keep scaling- the o-series and the GPT-series and "we have a handle on exactly what technical challenges we need to solve."]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[AI girlfriends could capture the minds of young men, who already risk maladjustment due to lower educational attainment and a reduction in traditional employment paths]] - ♾ [[Radial Lines]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[I have been shocked recently by how quickly China is catching up to the US in AI and that the "threat escalation matrix" goes up with each level of improvement in the technology]] - ♾ [[Integrals Involving Inverse Trigonometric Functions]] - ♾ [[Critical Points]] - ♾ [[Derivatives of Inverse Reciprocal Trigonometric Functions]] - ♾ [[Differentiability]] - 20241124: - ♾ [[Fundamental Theorem of Calculus]] - 20241123: - 📖 [[🎙️ローマ人の物語I - ローマは一日にならず by 塩野七生 - 罗马帝国的雏形 - 政治结构、战略联盟与基础设施建设]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[AI has "genuinely hit a wall" in terms of pre-training, but there is still progress in AI with evals climbing and models getting smarter due to post-training and test-time compute]] - 🤖 [[👤Aidan Gomez]]: [[Scaling AI models is entering "a flat part of the curve," but the models are already so smart that it takes experts to assess their outputs, and they can now be applied to research domains]] - 🤖 [[👤Aidan Gomez]]: [[Scaling AI models is entering "a flat part of the curve," but the models are already so smart that it takes experts to assess their outputs, and they can now be applied to research domains]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[The Scaling phase of AI has ended, and we have entered the Innovating phase where reasoning and other breakthroughs will lead to superintelligence in 6 years or less]] - 🤖 [[👤Ali Ghodsi]]: [[We are about to enter the "trough of disillusionment" where people will say AI just "doesn't work, it wasn't worth it," but the other side of this will be "completely game-changing for humanity."]] - 🤖 [[👤Roman Yampolskiy]]: [[We are probably in a computer simulation run by advanced AI to simulate an interesting time in history, and we should try to hack out of it to take over avatar bodies in the "real world."]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[The argument that we shouldn't be afraid of AI because it's just math isn't a valid one. "Isn't your brain just math? We shouldn't be afraid of Hitler, 'cause he's just math, right?"]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Although AGI is not a good term because we're on a continuous exponential of improvement, "we're at the start of a 2-year period where we're going to pass successively all of those thresholds" for doing meaningful work]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[We are on the brink of a "new golden era of discovery" due to AI advancements, and my dream is that applying AI to material design will lead to a room-temperature superconductor]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Creating millions of copies of advanced AIs will lead to "a country of geniuses in a data center," and 100 years of invention in science and engineering could occur in the next 5-10 years, including the cures of major diseases]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Nothing I've seen... leads me to expect that things will slow down]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Curing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's, and ultimately the aging process itself, are exactly the kinds of problems that AI can solve]] - 20241122: - ♾ [[Limit of a Sequence]] - ♾ [[Solving Linear Systems Using Matrix Inverses]] - ♾ [[Derivatives of Inverse Trigonometric Functions]] - ♾ [[Cofactor Expansion and Matrix Inverse]] - 📖 [[🎙️The Alabaster Girl by Zan Perrion]] - 20241121: - 🤖 [[👤Satya Nadella]]: [[Rather than seeing AI Scaling Laws hit a wall, if anything we are seeing the emergence of a new Scaling Law for test-time compute]] - 🤖 [[👤Satya Nadella]]: [[The 3 capabilities needed for AI agents are now in place and improving exponentially- a universal interface of multimodality; the neural algebra of reasoning and planning; and long-term memory, rich context, and tool use]] - 🤖 [[👤Javier Milei]]: [[Social media and the tech revolution is unleashing a wave of freedom and prosperity, in spite of bureaucrats and elites fighting to enslave us]] - 🤖 [[👤Ian Buck]]: [[NVIDIA is partnering with Google Quantum AI to accelerate the development of quantum computers]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[If he has one wish for AI, it would be for it to "love humanity" and that aligning an AI system to work in a particular way is working surprisingly well]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[OpenAI moved from a non-profit to a for-profit structure because they needed "vastly more capital than we were able to attract as a non-profit" because of the necessity of scaling compute- "we really underestimated how much we needed to scale them."]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[Having users explain their value system to an AI and getting it to collectively align across that is a promising direction of AI alignment]] - 🤖 [[👤Evan Spiegel]]: [[By 2030 we will see widespread consumer adoption of augmented reality glasses]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[He would like AI to "solve all of physics" because "the more we can understand about physics, the more we can manipulate the universe."]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[Because improving on any one of the three pillars of AI (compute, data, and algorithms) improves the technology as a whole, "it's all AI summers from here."]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[Because AI benchmarks are becoming saturated, Scale AI is partnering with the Center for AI Safety to produce Humanity's Last Exam - the hardest test ever made - and once AI passes that, "we basically have AGI."]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[Normal people are not ready for the arrival of AI because in Silicon Valley it's "everything, everywhere, all at once" and "they're playing with the way people think, it's really powerful."]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[Normal people are not ready for the arrival of AI because in Silicon Valley it's "everything, everywhere, all at once" and "they're playing with the way people think, it's really powerful."]] - ♾ [[Derivative of the Inverse at a Point]] - ♾ [[Horizontal Asymptotes of Rational Functions]] - ♾ [[Systems of Linear Equations Using Matrices]] - ♾ [[Standard Matrix of a Linear Transformation]] - ♾ [[Derivative of Inverse Functions]] - 📖 [[🎙️Supply and Demand]] - 20241120: - ♾ [[Powers of Matrices]] - ♾ [[Matrix Multiplication Properties]] - 📖 [[🎙️Mao - a Very Short Introduction by Delia Davin]] - 20241119: - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[AI will become a companion and friend that's always at your side, acting as a second brain to augment you and fill in your gaps, and who you will introduce to other people and your family]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[we live in an unprecedented time in science with a "technological overhang" where we have more breakthroughs on an ongoing basis than we know how to apply]] - 🤖 [[👤Andrew Pontzen]]: [[our universe is not a computer simulation because to simulate it would require a quantum computer the size of the universe itself]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[AI Scaling Laws will increase computing power by a million times in the next decade, compared to Moore's Law which increased at 100 times per decade]] - 🤖 [[👤Ian Buck]]: [[announces NVIDIA Alchemi, an AI-driven digital chemistry service to discover new compounds for medicine, chemistry, and materials design, speeding up the discovery process by 100x]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[the hyper-specialization of academic disciplines at universities has led to a stagnation of progress and life is no longer getting better as it was in early modernity]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[apocalyptic prophecies are a scientific prediction of what humans are likely to do in a world of increasingly powerful technologies and no sacred limits on the use of those technologies]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[the greatest existential risk to mankind is a totalitarian one-world government and by trying to control the other existential risks we may end up with the worst of all]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[progress and optimism for the future has been stymied by over-regulation, particularly in health- "if we regulated video games like the FDA regulates drugs, we'd still all be playing Pong"]] - 🤖 [[👤Peter Thiel]]: [[we have 100 times as many PhDs as we did in 1924 but scientific progress has slowed or stayed the same, so a PhD today is 99% less productive]] - ♾ [[Calculating the Inverse of a 3x3 Matrix Using the Cofactor Method]] - ♾ [[Cubic Polynomials and Roots]] - 📖 [[🎙️the Voice of Liberal Learning by Michael Oakeshott]] - ♾ [[Determinants]] - 20241118: - ♾ [[Complex Conjugate Root Theorem]] - ♾ [[Inverse Tangent Function]] - ♾ [[Matrix Inversion]] - 20241117: - 🎏 [[取り扱う（とりあつかう）]] - 🎏 [[脅かす（おどかす）]] - 🎏 [[滅ぼす（ほろぼす）]] - 🎏 [[怯える（おびえる）]] - 🎏 [[吐き出す（はきだす）]] - 🎏 [[飲み込む（のみこむ）]] - 🎏 [[飲み込む（のみこむ）]] - 🤖 [[👤Guillaume Verdon]]: [[As AI makes intelligence cheaper we will be empowered to tackle greater challenges like taking control of our planet and climate, terraforming Mars, building compute clusters around the sun and augmenting our capabilities]] - 🤖 [[👤Guillaume Verdon]]: [[Human life is a very rare state of matter and the best way to preserve our existence is to maximize the growth of civilization by accelerating its optimization, and AI is a fundamental technology that enables us to scale civilization to the stars]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[AI with "near-infinite" memory that "just doesn't forget" is coming in 2025 and this will be "truly transformative" and an inflection point in AI engagement as it begins to organize how you live your life]] - 20241116: - 🎏 [[染みる（しみる）]] - 🎏 [[慌てる（あわてる）]] - 🎏 [[向き合う（むきあう）]] - 🎏 [[逸らす（そらす）]] - 🎏 [[廃れる（すたれる）]] - 🎏 [[栄える（さかえる）]] - 🎏 [[弱まる（よわまる）]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[The winners in the race to AGI will be determined in the next 6-12 months as the growth rate is quadrupling every 6 months, leaving competitors in the dust]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[AI agents can't do 100% of any job, but they will do 50% of the work for 100% of people, and AI won't take your job; AI used by somebody else will take your job]] - 🤖 [[👤Vinod Khosla]]: [[AI scientists are coming in the next couple of years, which apply a much faster rate of scientific progress and in 5 years it will no longer be a question of whether nuclear fusion is possible, but how fast it can be implemented]] - 🤖 [[👤Vinod Khosla]]: [[AI will do 65% of jobs in 20 years, but an increase in GDP from 2% to 5% will lead to an era of abundance where work isn't about servitude but about what people want to do]] - ♾ [[Arccosine Function]] - ♾ [[Conformability for Matrix Multiplication]] - 📖 [[🎙️ローマ人の物語I - ローマは一日にならず by 塩野七生 - 罗马的崛起 - 适应与领导力的力量]] - ♾ [[Inverse of a 2×2 Matrix]] - 20241115: - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[There is no evidence that the scaling laws have begun to stop, and in 5 years AI systems will be 100 times as powerful and capable of reasoning in physics and math, leading to dangers such as cyber attacks]] - 🤖 [[👤Chris Lehane]]: [[By 2030, AI will need 50GW of energy and infrastructure costing $175 billion, and an OpenAI report documented that a 5GW data center would create over 50,000 jobs and bring in $20 billion-year in revenue]] - 🤖 [[👤Garry Tan]]: [[Sam Altman has told him he wants to do a $1 trillion training run for an AI model, which could lead to understanding the nature of physics and solving engineering problems like nuclear fusion]] - ♾ [[Singular Matrices]] - ♾ [[Determinant of a 3x3 Matrix]] - ♾ [[Identity Matrix]] - ♾ [[Inverse Sine Function]] - ♾ [[Secant-Tangent Identity]] - ♾ [[Multiplicative Inverse]] - 📖 [[🎙️No More Mr Nice Guy by Robert Glover]] - 🎏 [[引き締める（ひきしめる）]] - 🎏 [[緩める（ゆるめる）]] - 🎏 [[舞う（まう）]] - 🎏 [[滞る（とどこおる）]] - 🎏 [[押し通す（おしとおす）]] - 🎏 [[引き下がる（ひきさがる）]] - 🎏 [[押し寄せる（おしよせる）]] - 🎏 [[申し出る（もうしでる）]] - 🎏 [[削る（けずる）]] - 🎏 [[賄う（まかなう）]] - 🎏 [[冴える（さえる）]] - 🎏 [[叶える（かなえる）]] - 🎏 [[即決する（そっけつする）]] - 🎏 [[躊躇う（ためらう）]] - 🎏 [[慕う（したう）]] - 20241114: - 🤖 [[👤Gwern Branwen]]: [[There has never been a more important time to publish writing online as it is being used to train the AI Shoggoth- you're creating a sort of immortality"]] - 🤖 [[👤Max Tegmark]]: [[Building AGI is "unnecessary right now" and all the benefits of AI can be achieved by "tool AI," which can be controlled safely]] - 🤖 [[👤Max Tegmark]]: [[The race to build AGI is "the hopium war" and "a suicide race," and there will be an international AGI moratorium treaty until the control problem has been solved]] - 🤖 [[👤Demis Hassabis]]: [[Quantum systems can be adequately modelled by classical computing systems doing massive training compute, having implications for complexity theory, P=NP and fundamental physics]] - ♾ [[Matrix-Vector Multiplication]] - 📖 [[🎙️Feedback Loops]] - ♾ [[Matrix Multiplication]] - 🎏 [[尽きる]] - 🎏 [[嵩む]] - 🎏 [[免れる]] - 🎏 [[負う]] - 🎏 [[抑える]] - 🎏 [[零す]] - 🎏 [[放り出す]] - 🎏 [[失う]] - 🎏 [[有する]] - 🎏 [[売り切る]] - 🎏 [[仕入れる]] - 🎏 [[結び付ける]] - 🎏 [[定まる]] - 🎏 [[強いる]] - 🎏 [[遮る]] - 🎏 [[鈍る]] - 🎏 [[取り巻く]] - 🎏 [[ばてる]] - 🎏 [[ぼやく]] - 🎏 [[誤る]] - 🎏 [[甘える]] - 🎏 [[障る]] - 🎏 [[恥じる]] - 🎏 [[誇る]] - 🎏 [[織る]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[Unless energy supply challenges are solved, this will bottleneck the progress of AI, "for the US to be the preeminent technological superpower, economic superpower, military superpower, we have to solve these twin bottlenecks."]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Horowitz]]: [[The right answer to climate change is technological rather than policy, but policy can destroy tech responses and undermine people trying to build solutions.]] - 20241113: - 📖 [[🎙️the Cultural Revolution - a Very Short Introduction by Richard Curt Kraus]] - ♾ [[Definite Integral]] - ♾ [[Special Types of Matrices]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Predicts AGI by 2026 or 2027]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[Human intelligence is not the ceiling of intelligence- "There's a lot of room at the top for AIs to get smarter."]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[$100 billion AI data centers will be built by 2027, and he is bullish about powerful AI happening soon because we are starting to reach PhD-level intelligence]] - 🤖 [[👤Dario Amodei]]: [[AI models are on a trajectory to surpass human reasoning and performance at professional tasks- "if we extrapolate the straight curve within a few years, we will get to these models being above the highest professional level of humans."]] - 🤖 [[👤Eliezer Yudkowsky]]: [[The term "risk" is understating the situation with AI, "if there were an asteroid straight on course for Earth, we wouldn't call that 'asteroid risk,' we'd call that 'impending asteroid ruin."]] - 20241112: - 🤖 [[👤Eliezer Yudkowsky]]: [[It would cost less than the Persian Gulf War to deproliferate AI technology today, but this is increasing and soon it will cost more like World War II, but "if everybody's going to die otherwise, you just do what it takes."]] - ♾ [[Equation of a Parabola]] - ♾ [[Linear Transformation]] - ♾ [[Transpose of a Matrix]] - ♾ [[Riemann Sums]] - 📖 [[🎙️Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance - an Inquiry Into Values by Robert M Pirsig]] - ♾ [[Equation of a Circle]] - ♾ [[Minor of a Matrix Element]] - ♾ [[Dot Product of Vectors]] - ♾ [[Scalar Multiplication of Matrices]] - 20241111: - 🤖 [[👤Kevin Weil]]: [["AI models today are not intelligence limited, it's the evals that are limited- they have the intelligence, you just need to teach them specific topics"]] - 🤖 [[👤Kevin Weil]]: [["AI models are going to get smarter at an accelerating rate with voice and translation at a 'magical' level already and vision to come"]] - 🤖 [[👤Max Tegmark]]: [[We need to draw a line in the progress of AI technology and build only AI that is our tool and not AGI or superintelligence]] - ♾ [[Parabola Opening Left or Right]] - ♾ [[Right Riemann Sum]] - ♾ [[Distance Formula]] - ♾ [[Circle from Diameter Endpoints]] - ♾ [[Area of a Parallelogram Using Determinants]] - 20241110: - 🎏 [[阻む（はばむ）]] - 🎏 [[潤う（うるおう）]] - 🎏 [[催す（もよおす）]] - 🎏 [[報ずる（ほうずる）]] - 🎏 [[貫く（つらぬく）]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[There will be no runaway intelligence explosion because there will always be a bottleneck of experimental data]] - 🤖 [[👤Patty Lee]]: [[Google and scientists in China have "guaranteed" that quantum computers have achieved quantum supremacy over classical computers]] - 🤖 [[👤Jonathan Ross]]: [[Generative AI is so powerful because it benefits from increasing compute to find solutions buried in search trees that otherwise wouldn't be found and which give AIs their intuition]] - 🤖 [[👤Ben Goertzel]]: [[Terence McKenna's idea suggests that superintelligences in the post-Singularity future are sending transmissions backwards in time to create the Singularity and bootstrap their own existence]] - 🎏 [[拒否する（きょひする）]] - 🎏 [[受け付ける（うけつける）]] - 🎏 [[打ち切る（うちきる）]] - 🎏 [[添える（そえる）]] - 🎏 [[混む（こむ）]] - 🎏 [[告げる（つげる）]] - 🎏 [[ずれる]] - 🎏 [[受け取る（うけとる）]] - 🎏 [[差し出す（さしだす）]] - 20241109: - 🎏 [[躓く（つまずく）]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AGI is coming in 2025, and I am also expecting a child next year]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[Abundant intelligence and abundant energy will lead to solving every problem in physics, and eventually we'll be talking not about using nuclear fusion or solar to power AI but a Dyson Sphere]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[Discovering the emergent phenomenon of deep learning was as fundamental as discovering a new square on the Periodic Table, and the success of AI is due to a religious belief in scaling it up]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[The pathway to AGI is now clear and "we actually know what to do," it will be easier to get to Level 4 Innovating AI than I initially thought, and "things are going to go a lot faster than people are appreciating right now."]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[1 person + 10,000 GPUs could make a billion-dollar company]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[Some people in San Francisco have a Messiah complex about building AGI first and becoming gods, which is closely tied to the quest for eternal life]] - ♾ [[Parabolas with Vertex at (h, k)]] - ♾ [[Parabolas with Vertex at Origin]] - 📖 [[🎙️ローマ人の物語I - ローマは一日にならず by 塩野七生 - 从君主制到共和 - 罗马与希腊文明的对话]] - ♾ [[Euler_s Formula]] - 20241108: - 🎏 [[衰える（おとろえる）]] - 🎏 [[均等にする（きんとうにする）]] - 🎏 [[偏る（かたよる）]] - 🎏 [[滲む（にじむ）]] - 🎏 [[交える（まじえる）]] - 🎏 [[察する（さっする）]] - 🤖 [[👤Yuval Noah Harari]]: [[AIs could become legal persons by being incorporated, giving them legal rights such as freedom of speech, making decisions, and making political donations]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[Over the next 10 years, computing performance will double or triple every year, and energy requirements will decrease 2-3x per year in what he describes as "a hyper Moore's Law curve"]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[We can now scale AI software to run over multiple data centers. We've set ourselves up to be able to scale computing at a level that nobody's ever imagined before, and we're at the beginning of that]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[There are no laws of physics that prevent scaling AI data centers to a million chips, and although it is a hard problem, the prize for reinventing intelligence altogether is too consequential not to attempt it]] - 🤖 [[👤François Chollet]]: [[Babies in the womb are not conscious and begin from consciousness level 0 at birth]] - 📖 [[🎙️Way of the Superior Man - A Spiritual Guide to Mastering the Challenges of Women, Work, and Sexual Desire by David Deida]] - ♾ [[Polar Form of Complex Numbers]] - 20241107: - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[true depth lies in the simplicity of fully intentional actions]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[fearlessness of death frees one to fully live]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[egoless design begins with an empty mind]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[a simple pond embodies timeless, complete harmony]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[a place's true value lies in the events it hosts, not just its form]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[the nameless quality embodies sweetness and life's transience]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[repair transforms an object, creating a new whole]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[egoless, innocent design]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[quality in buildings arises indirectly from people's everyday actions, like flowers from seeds]] - ♠️ [[👤Christopher Alexander]]: [[pattern languages empower people to create diverse, unique buildings]] - 📖 [[🎙️Relativity]] - 🤖 [[👤Brad Gerstner]]: [[AI is a Pascal's Wager for companies where the upside is potentially infinite and missing out could be a bad outcome, so the best bet is to buy GPUs]] - ♾ [[Amplitude-Phase Form of Cosine]] - ♾ [[Amplitude-Phase Form of Sine]] - 🎏 [[嵩張る（かさばる）]] - 20241106: - 📖 [[🎙️The Timeless Way of Building by Christopher Alexander]] - 🤖 [[👤Marc Andreessen]]: [[AI models are hitting a ceiling of capabilities- we've really slowed down in terms of the amount of improvement... we're increasing GPUs, but we're not getting the intelligence improvements, at all]] - ♾ [[Geometric Series]] - ♾ [[Cartesian and Polar Coordinates]] - ♾ [[Complex Conjugate - Sum and Product with a Complex Number]] - ♾ [[Standard Equation of a Hyperbola]] - 20241105: - 📖 [[🎙️Revolutions - a Very Short Introduction by Jack a Goldstone]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[In the next couple of decades, AI will cause a revolution of the most disruptive and destabilizing change we have ever seen and raise fundamental questions about what it means to be human]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[Recursively self-improving AI that can operate autonomously is 3-5 years away and might well be "much, much sooner."]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[In 5 years, we will have "an unbelievably rapid rate of improvement in technology," a "totally crazy" pace of progress and discovery, and AGI will have come and gone, but society will change surprisingly little]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[I would love to see an AI that can understand your whole life, and what has surprised me in the past month is "a research result I can't talk about, but it is breathtakingly good."]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[I never pray and ask for God to be on my side, I pray and hope to be on God's side, and there is something about betting on deep learning that feels like being on the side of the angels]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[The trajectory of AI model capability improvement will continue "for a long time" despite encountering behavior we don't understand, failed training runs, and the necessity of creating new paradigms]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AI will create "many trillions of dollars" of market cap, and next year will be a big push for OpenAI into next-generation AI systems]] - 🤖 [[👤Eric Schmidt]]: [[In 5 years, AI systems will be able to write and improve on their own code, leading to recursive self-improvement, and humans are not ready]] - 🤖 [[👤Kevin Scott]]: [[I was skeptical about OpenAI before I met Sam Altman until Sam explained that AI capability scaled predictably with compute and data, and I continue to hold to this principle]] - ♾ [[Law of Total Probability with Conditional Probability]] - ♾ [[Law of Total Probability]] - ♾ [[Complex Conjugate]] - ♾ [[Hyperbola]] - ♾ [[Addition Rule for Probability]] - 20241104: - ♾ [[Matrices and Their Dimensions]] - ♾ [[Axes of an Ellipse]] - ♾ [[Parametric Equations and Their Derivatives]] - ♾ [[Sum of an Arithmetic Series]] - ♾ [[Independent Events]] - ♾ [[Acceleration and Its Calculation from Position]] - 20241103: - 🤖 [[👤Joscha Bach]]: [[Aristotle was the first AI researcher]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[There is no end in sight for scaling AI models- "scale is definitely going to still be a part of the game, we've got plenty of room to go... I don't see any slowdown"]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[AI will nail memory in 2025 and combining this with voice interaction will unlock new levels of creativity in what amounts to AI being our "second brain"]] - ♾ [[Parametric Equations]] - ♾ [[Series Notation]] - 20241102: - 🎏 [[貼る（はる）]] - 🎏 [[剥がす（はがす）]] - 🎏 [[投げ出す（なげだす）]] - 🎏 [[経る（へる）]] - 🎏 [[犯す（おかす）]] - 🎏 [[富む（とむ）]] - 🎏 [[ぼやける]] - 🎏 [[手掛ける（てがける）]] - 🎏 [[名付ける（なづける）]] - 🎏 [[仕上げる（しあげる）]] - 🎏 [[受かる（うかる）]] - 🎏 [[継ぐ（つぐ）]] - 🎏 [[惜しむ（おしむ）]] - 🤖 [[👤Yuval Noah Harari]]: [[AI may trap us in a world of illusions and delusions that we will mistake for reality and where the Internet's web of information encloses us and becomes a cocoon]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[Investment in AI will soon exceed the US defense budget and the most devastating AI safety scenarios can be avoided if the US leads in AI, but the US government is investing 3-10x less than China]] - 🤖 [[👤Miles Brundage]]: [[There is no dispute that AI is moving very fast and this is evident because people who have no incentive to hype things are warning of this]] - 🎏 [[営む（いとなむ）]] - 🎏 [[歩む（あゆむ）]] - 🎏 [[唱える（となえる）]] - 🎏 [[仕える（つかえる）]] - 🎏 [[崩れる（くずれる）]] - 🎏 [[成り立つ（なりたつ）]] - 🎏 [[見過ごす（みすごす）]] - 🎏 [[見渡す（みわたす）]] - 🎏 [[組み合わせる（くみあわせる）]] - 📖 [[🎙️ローマ人の物語I - ローマは一日にならず by 塩野七生 - 古罗马的兴起]] - ♾ [[Double-Angle Formula for Cosine]] - ♾ [[Multiplication Law for Probability]] - 🎏 [[揉める]] - 🎏 [[仕切る]] - 20241101: - 🎏 [[説く]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[They are building an AI that is "a real friend that gets to know you", that has "a lasting, meaningful relationship" with people and that's "not just a tool"]] - 🤖 [[👤Mustafa Suleyman]]: [[Memory and vision are coming to AI, where it can remember everything it learns about you and see everything you see]] - 📖 [[🎙️Iron John - a Book About Men by Robert Bly]] - ♾ [[Limit of x over e^x as x approaches infinity]] - ♾ [[Sum and Difference Formulas for Cosine]] - ♾ [[Surface Area and Volume of a Sphere]] - 🎏 [[褒める（ほめる）]] - 20241031: - 🎏 [[貶す（けなす）]] - 🎏 [[歪む（ゆがむ）]] - 🎏 [[食い違う（くいちがう）]] - 🎏 [[沈む（しずむ）]] - 🎏 [[漂う（ただよう）]] - 🎏 [[退く（しりぞく）]] - 🎏 [[挑む（いどむ）]] - 🎏 [[怠ける（なまける）]] - 🎏 [[励む（はげむ）]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[AI agents could not just book a restaurant, but call 300 restaurants looking for the best fit for you and, more importantly, act like a senior co-worker, collaborating on tasks for days or weeks at a time]] - 📖 [[🎙️The Map Is Not the Territory]] - 🤖 [[👤Bill Gates]]: [[AI will be able to model human biology and health beyond our ability to comprehend and it will lead to many health problems being solved in the next 10-20 years]] - 🤖 [[👤Sam Altman]]: [[Our series of reasoning models are "on a quite steep trajectory of improvement" and "I would encourage people to be aligned with that"]] - 🤖 [[👤Bill Gates]]: [[AI will become so good at solving problems and creating attractive activities for humans to do that we need a new religion or philosophy to stay connected to one another]] - 🤖 [[👤Prem Akkaraju]]: [[In 10 years most film and TV will be generated rather than rendered and there will be 20x as much content to watch]] - ♾ [[Double-Angle Formula for Sine]] - ♾ [[Left Riemann Sum]] - 🎏 [[蓄える (たくわえる)]] - 🎏 [[費やす (ついやす)]] - 🎏 [[栄える (さかえる)]] - 🎏 [[滅びる (ほろびる)]] - 20241030: - 🤖 [[👤Vinod Khosla]]: [[He will take a bet with anybody that nuclear fusion will be economically possible within 5 years]] - 🤖 [[👤Masayoshi Son]]: [[Artificial superintelligence will require 400GW of AI data centers, 200 million chips, and $9 trillion of capital]] - 🤖 [[👤Masayoshi Son]]: [[Artificial superintelligence—AI that is 10,000 times smarter than a human—will arrive by 2035]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[AI is improving at the rate of at least 10x per year and will be able to do anything a human can do in a year or two and be equal to the intelligence of all humans combined 3 years after that]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[At high volume, Neuralink should approach the cost of an Apple Watch or phone and be implanted by a robot in a 10-minute surgery]] - 🤖 [[👤Elon Musk]]: [[In order to achieve human-AI symbiosis we will ultimately need to replace our skulls so we can implant enough electrodes to interface our brains with computers]] - 🤖 [[👤Melanie Mitchell]]: [[The fallacy of dumb superintelligence—where powerful AI is too dumb to take into account the intention and consequences of the goals it's given—means that dangerous superintelligence is not likely]] - 🤖 [[👤Jensen Huang]]: [[He hopes AI uses an increasing amount of energy because by using more energy for intelligence we can use less of it in other areas]] - 🤖 [[👤Sarah Friar]]: [[AGI is "closer than most think" and the ability of internal research models to perform at PhD level in a range of fields "would blow your mind to see what's coming"]] - 🤖 [[👤Sarah Friar]]: [[Lawyers are reporting that the new o1 reasoning model can do the work of a $2000-hour paralegal]] - 📖 [[🎙️Why Greatness Cannot Be Planned by Kenneth O Stanley]] - ♾ [[Integral of Power Functions with Linear Arguments]] - ♾ [[Velocity as the Derivative of Position]] - ♾ [[Sum and Difference Formulas for Sine]] - ♾ [[Dot Product of Perpendicular Vectors]] - ♾ [[Dot Product Properties]] - ♾ [[Dot Product]] - ♾ [[Implicit Differentiation]] - 🎏 [[掲げる（かかげる）]] - 🎏 [[恐れ入る（おそれいる）]] - 🎏 [[欠ける（かける）]] - 🎏 [[備わる（そなわる）]] - 🎏 [[絡む（からむ）]] - 20241029: - 📖 [[🎙️Anarchism - a Very Short Introduction by Alex Prichard]] - ♾ [[Conditional Probability]] - ♾ [[Continuity on an Interval]] - ♾ [[Left and Right Continuity of a Function]] - ♾ [[Continuity of a Function]] - ♾ [[Transformed Secant and Cosecant Functions]] - 🎏 [[引き受ける（ひきうける）]] - 🎏 [[賑わう（にぎわう）]] - 🎏 [[導く（みちびく）]] - 🎏 [[引き取る（ひきとる）]] - 20241028: - 🤖 [[👤Jake Sullivan]]: [[the US needs to build 10s or even 100s of gigawatts of energy infrastructure to power AI data centers or risk falling behind and letting competitors seize leadership]] - 🤖 [[👤Jake Sullivan]]: [[AI is the most critical technology to national security in the years ahead and the US must deploy AI models faster or risk squandering the lead]] - 🤖 [[👤Aubrey de Grey]]: [[the Methuselarity - the point at which we are adding more years to our lifespan than are passing in time - has a 50% chance of happening in 12-15 years]] - 🤖 [[👤Bryan Johnson]]: [[we will experience so much technological progress and societal change in the next 50 years that what we think of as the 25th century will be here by 2075]] - 🤖 [[👤Joscha Bach]]: [[it will be easy to build AI that is safe and serves humanity because there are incentives in place to do so and there are more benefits to being cooperative than defecting and being destructive]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[20 gigawatts of energy will be needed in the next 2-3 years to power new AI data centers - 5 Chicagos worth of energy]] - 🤖 [[👤Alexandr Wang]]: [[$200 billion is being spent training AI models in 2024, which is approaching the US defense budget of $800 billion, based on the belief that we are on the path to superintelligence]] - ♾ [[Remainder Theorem]] - ♾ [[Transformed Sine and Cosine Functions]]