# [I would bet even odds that by 2037, human lifespan will have been extended to 150 years by AI](https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1884009855528362038)  *** <iframe title="Navigating a world in transition: Dario Amodei in conversation with Zanny Minton Beddoes - YouTube" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/uvMolVW_2v0?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe> #### [[👤Dario Amodei]]: Look at all the drugs we plan to develop over the next 100 years. How quickly can we produce them? We need to consider everything, including the clinical trial system. This process will get faster in some ways. Late-stage trials might be replaced by early-stage trials. Early-stage trials might be replaced by animal testing. Animal testing might be replaced by experiments on cells, and cell experiments could be replaced by computer simulations. But even with these improvements, it will still take time. It will require several rounds of testing and refinement. Over time, as AI improves and becomes more widespread, it will help speed things up. AI could suggest skipping certain experiments because it can figure out the results through its own computations. However, for more complex situations, experiments might still be necessary. If we add everything up, we could see big improvements. I think a 10x acceleration in drug development is realistic. A 100x improvement is possible but less likely. A 2x improvement would be a conservative estimate, but I think we can go further. Now, if we assume a 10x acceleration, think about what humans could achieve in the next 100 years. Without AI, human creativity and biological research could still extend life expectancy to about 140 years instead of today’s 70–80 years. With advanced AI developed by, say, 2027, it’s possible that by 2037 humans might live to 140 or 150 years. Some people might already agree that this is plausible. #🤖Dario_Amodei *** - [[The single greatest potential of AI is to transform biology from a life science into life engineering to improve healthcare and he "can't imagine" what the field will be like in 10 years]] - [[AI could increase the rate of discovery in biology by 100x, compressing the total amount of progress that occurred in the 20th and 21st centuries to just a few years]] - [[We will soon live in a world where 10 years of scientific research can be done in a single month by AI scientists, and people are not ready for the change that entails]] - [[Curing diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's, and ultimately the aging process itself, are exactly the kinds of problems that AI can solve]] - [[His lab is working to reverse aging and age reversal technology is now being used on rejuvenating tissues and curing diseases throughout the body]] - [[AI will enhance science: designing new drugs for medicine, discovering a room temperature superconductor, cracking mathematical conjectures and formulating its own new conjectures]] - [[Creating millions of copies of advanced AIs will lead to "a country of geniuses in a data center," and 100 years of invention in science and engineering could occur in the next 5-10 years, including the cures of major diseases]] - [[AI models as intelligent as Nobel Prize-winning scientists could accelerate discoveries in biology and cure diseases]] - [[AlphaFold enabled a billion years worth of research to be done in one year and the goal is to simulate virtual cells so that experiments can be performed in silico]] - [[by 2030 we will see widespread consumer adoption of augmented reality glasses]]