up:: [[]] Tags:: #🌱 # The Lindy Effect "Lindy is a deli in New York, now a tourist trap, that proudly claims to be famous for its cheesecake, but in fact has been known for fifty or so years by physicists and mathematicians thanks to the heuristic that developed there. Actors who hung out there gossiping about other actors discovered that Broadway shows that lasted for, say, one hundred days, had a future life expectancy of a hundred more. For those that lasted two hundred days, two hundred more. The heuristic became known as the Lindy effect. Let me warn the reader: while the Lindy effect is one of the most useful, robust, and universal heuristics I know, Lindy’s cheesecake is…much less distinguished. Odds are the deli will not survive, by the Lindy effect." - [[Nassim Taleb]] This is why the things which have survived the longest are often the most insightful. They are Antifragile as they have survived the test of time. They are more likely to have a higher [[Signal to noise ratio]] ratio. Consuming old information then can help us break away from the [[Never Ending Now]]. Related: [[Idea Grandparents]] [[Older notes are generally more valuable]]